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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays game with statement victories.
LSU went to Texas and beat the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams look to take more than a place in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the solution for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs, into creating poor decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That contains the 45 they dropped on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Can the No. 5 grading defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will Burrow as well as also win the wager and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the complete breakdown.
There is very little doubt in the ability of Burrow . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the receiving groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target who will fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitors of LSU: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Although its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of the caliber of Burrow, florida sits at 33rd. Theyve played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a high ceiling for a cover guy.
Burrow will also confront a ominous pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to be their best is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing defensive line, Even though his awareness need to enhance from the pocket. Auburns is arguably the finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is 85th in bag speed. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He also sprained a knee in the game and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
With all the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to produce big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most regarded as DBU for the talent they have on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him will soon be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, that allowed the smallest sum of first downs. Though this group is now 69th in passing yards itll be a force if given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this season, going. broke a tackle at the line on his way. In spite of this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front might not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky match.
It puts a lot of stress on Trask in a hostile atmosphere if they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned respect following last week from the school football world. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win from LSU from Death Valley, I really do see this sport staying most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or something close to this. Their pass-rush has completely developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will probably wear out with time, since they much too much to change the tide in matches have been relied upon by the group. Marco Wilson will be the topic to some PIs against the physiological Chase or Jefferson.
But I dont expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in a lot of a slog till then makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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