UFC 234 is set to occur less than two weeks from today at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne, Australia. Together with the card fast coming up, there have sadly been some injuries and a couple of fights have been affected. Here’s an update on the latest fights for UFC 234 in today’s MMA odds and ends.
Sam Alvey vs. Jimmy Crute, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Ryan Spann, Sam Alvey has stepped on short notice and will take on increasing prospect Jimmy Crute at a light heavyweight conflict. News of the new matchup was first shown by news.com.au.
Alvey (33-11, 1 NC) is 10-6 overall in the UFC while dividing his time between middleweight and light heavyweight. Since going around 205lbs, Alvey has gone 2-1 with wins over Gian Villante and Marcin Prachnio and a sudden TKO loss to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in his final fight. Alvey has settled into the role of gatekeeper, despite the loss to Nogueira he remains a stern test for any up-and-coming in the light heavyweight division, making Crute the most ideal opponent. Note that Alvey was initially set to fight Gadzhimurad Antigulov in UFC Fight Night 145 before being pulled for this matchup.
Crute (9-0) looked fantastic in his UFC debut because he submitted Paul Craig. He is only 22-years old and has tons of confidence as an undefeated potential. He is the native and has all of the pressure on himbut he hasn’t shown any symptoms of not being able to live up to the hype. From all reports, Crute looks like he has a few of those qualities of a future light heavyweight title contender.
In terms of the odds, Crute was a +110 underdog against Ryan Spann, but I’d have bet him at those odds as I saw worth there. Against Alvey, I really don’t find any reason why Crute would not be a huge favorite. I’d peg him around -300 in this fight, and that I see him beating Alvey and continuing his march towards the top-15 ranks.
Callan Potter vs. Jalin Turner, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Alex Gorgees, Callan Potter will make his UFC debut on brief notice when he chooses on Jalin Turner in UFC 234. Nolan King broke the information.
Potter (16-7) is a regional Aussie fighter and has been riding an eight-fight win streak prior to being filed by Marcin Held in ACB in his final struggle. He really has quite a lot of expertise, having fought Jake Matthews before in his career. However, he’s got no notable wins. Be aware that all Potter’s struggles have finished inside the distance — win or lose.
Turner (7-4) was knocked out by Vicente Luque in his UFC debut. This was always going to be a difficult matchup for Turner, and I’m still not sure why the UFC put up him as a sacrificial lamb there. All seven of Turner’s career wins have come by stoppage, however he’s been pumped out three times which is of course concerning.
Turner is the larger name and had a full camp so I do expect him to be favored, but I think Potter has a fairly good chance here. However, this might be a fight where the props could be the best bet, along with the prop I’ll be on the lookout for is the struggle ending within the distance, as I fully expect someone to get knocked out.
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