Seven teams got beat by double digits of the 2019 NFL season in Week 1 and we’re seeing overcorrection of odds and spreads because of the overreaction that is instant for Week two. But over the past five seasons, the teams that got wrecked in their opening match by 10 points or more have now covered of their period in Week 2.
Since the beginning of the 2014 season, there were 34 cases of teams dropping from double-digit things in Week 1 and their album is still 21-12-1 ATS for Week 2. That record seemed so doubtful I had to double-check the effect myself out of our stats man (shout-out to Will!) .
See the table below angles you could take advantage of for Week two and that illustrates this tendency:
Since you may see, that the ATS percentage does not change much depending on the sample size of also the last five seasons, the previous 3 seasons and last year. This isn’t me to take out a second mortgage and place it on the Dolphins +19??distribute vs the Patriots but there’s some virtue to projecting a bounce-back from teams at Week two by these keeping games close or winning outright (52.9% over past five decades ).
The seven groups which lost by 10 points or more would be Browns, Steelers, the Dolphins, Jaguars, Falcons, Giants and Buccaneers.
We wouldn’t be much of an authority chances and trends if we see the way that teams do after crushing an opponent and did examine the side. According to the last five seasons, most teams which won by 10 points or more at Week 1 have covered 45.5 percent of their games in Week 2.
View the table below for past five seasons, the last three seasons and 2018:
As evidenced in the table above, there’s a regression from these winners that is likely because defenses finally have and they won’t be caught off guard such as Week 1 victims.
It’s also because of inflated spreads which are probably not a true representation of those teams are ATS. For reference, the seven groups which won by 10 points or more in Week 1 are the Titans, Chiefs, Ravens, Vikings, Cowboys, 49ers and Patriots.
To see the most recent betting odds for Week two, take a look at our NFL Odds Page.
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