The FanDuel MLB DFS Picks of last night have been also a mixed bag of frustration and production.
As Berrios was really good in their own outing against the visiting White Sox, we finished up on the perfect side of the Jose Berrios/Robbie Ray discussion. Even the right-hander hurled 7.1 innings of two-run chunk to go along with eight punchouts, earning his 13th win of the year in the process. He walked four, struck out seven and also received a no-decision, although ray allowed just one hit and went six innings.
Since they scored eight runs against a struggling Reds bullpen and Kevin Gausman, our four-man Cubs heap showed out. The major hit came in Kyle Schwarber who clubbed a three-run home run off of Gausman. Nicholas Castellanos remained hot he added a pair of RBI. While Nico Hoerner deciphered at one and a run scored, ben Zobrist delivered value. I like.
The part of the lineup arrived in the form of our Brewers stack. Cory Spangenberg of all players did damage with a triple and a homer, although milwaukee scored five runs. Yasmani Grandal posted a zero, Mike Moustakas gave us walk while Eric Thames delivered worth with a double, a single and a run scored.
All told, it was a good lineup with the exception of two players, however I will take these outcomes and the profits attached.
Let us see if we can make it and turn our attention to tonight’s large slate 2 in a row!
P — Justin Verlander (HOU) — $12,000 vs. TEX
I actually did look around to see if I could squeeze any value from a different pitcher on this slate for GPPs, however, the fact is I just can’t fade Verlander in this matchup because his strikeout upside is just enormous against the swing-and-miss Texas Rangers. Not only is Verlander entering this excursion since the AL Cy Young favorite thanks to his 2.58 ERA, 18 wins and also enormous 12.01 K/9 speed, but he chooses on a Rangers team that owns a 25.4% K-rate versus right-handed pitching this year, great for the fifth-highest mark in baseball. Verlander is knowledgeable about this Texas lineup as he has had his share of excursions against them this year. Tonight will mark the first time start of the season for Verlander against these Rangers, and he is pitched to a 2.70 ERA with a 11.70 K/9 rate against them throughout the first five. However, when we take out his very first start of the season against Texas — and also second start complete — in which he allowed four earned runs and struck out only four, Verlander owns a 1.73 ERA and a 12.12 K/9 clip from them within his final four starts involving a 12-strikeout campaign against them at his last start against the Rangers. Considering I have discovered a quality lineup in spite of the expensive Verlander in the very top, I believe most of us must be rolling with the future Hall of Famer tonight.
C/1B — Freddie Freeman (ATL) — $3,800 vs. PHI
It is an NL East clash tonight in Atlanta since the Braves take on the Phillies in hopes of buring that the Phillies once and for everybody in the NL playoff race. I believe they’ll do that tonight supporting a solid offensive operation against right-hander Vince Velasquez and a Phillies’pen. Velasquez owns a 4.95 ERA and 5.44 FIP on the season while allowing home runs in a big 2.08 HR/9 clip. In addition, he possesses a 5.40 ERA and also 5.69 FIP on the path to go alongside a 4.19 BB/9 rate that’s miles greater than his 2.43 markers in your home, so I’m all in on a four-man Braves pile in this one tonight, starting here with Freeman. It has been a year of mashing right-hander pitching for its long-time Braves first baseman as he has published a big-time .291 ISO, 1.030 OPS, .420 wOBA plus a large 159 wRC+ from righties here in 2019. The amounts are very similar in the home, no matter how the ability jumps into some .317 ISO at SunTrust Park vs righties, a place that caters nicely to left-handed power hitters such as Freeman. He doesn’t have several extra-base hits against him, but Freeman has gone 9 for 26 (.346) with a set doubles in his career against Velasquez. He also snapped a out, so let us search to construct off this effort from a pitcher tonight.
2B — Wilmer Flores (ARI) — $2,600 vs. MIA
I certainly have to obtain some worth in this lineup with the expensive Verlander at the top and pair of pricey Braves bats, and I’ve discovered a three-man value pile from the Diamondbacks on this slate, a team projected to dent 5.1 runs against left-hander Caleb Smith and a weak Marlins bullpen. There is a few things working from the D-backs’ favor tonight. They rank third in baseball with a .353 group wOBA versus pitching, thanks in part . Second, after a great start to his year, Smith has been hit hard initially, posting a 4.81 ERA since the All-Star fracture with a 6.39 markers in August along with a 4.76 mark up to now in September. Finally, Smith possesses a 4.77 ERA, 5.87 FIP, 5.05 xFIP along with a 2.59 HR/9 speed on the road in contrast to a 3.56 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 4.33 xFIP along with a 1.23 HR/9 speed in the home. The home run speed is more than twice the road than at home. Input Flores who is once again mashing left-handed pitching this season to the song of a .340 typical, .309 ISO, 1.023 OPS, .420 wOBA and also a 160 wRC+. These are some very figures. In addition, he owns lefties for an even superior .380 ISO, 1.186 OPS, .482 wOBA and massive 200 wRC+ from lefties at home. There’s only a lot to like about the matchup below contrary to the Smith that is fighting.
3B — Josh Donaldson (ATL) — $3,400 vs. PHI
Next guy up in our Braves heap is Donaldson who is placing himself in a wonderful position to earn some big bucks as a free agent against the winter, thanks in large part for his work at home against right-wing pitching in 2019. Donaldson has mashed right-handers overall as a part of his reverse-splits this season as he’s posted a .280 ISO, .931 OPS, .387 wOBA and 137 wRC+ to the season against opposite-handed pitching, though he’s posted powerful numbers against lefties as well. Nevertheless, his best split is in the home against righties. At SunTrust Park versus right-handed pitching this year, the former AL MVP has posted an eye-popping .397 ISO, 1.209 OPS, .486 wOBA and 202 wRC+. In other words, his bat was 102% more productive than league average at home versus righties this season. This matters as Donaldson isn’t the hitter on the street where he has submitted a .193 ISO and .719 OPS against righties this year. Donaldson is enjoying a large month of September to boot as he has posted a .289 ISO, 1.016 OPS, .425 wOBA along with 162 wRC+ for the month for this point with the latter figure tying July for his most productive month of the 2019 season. Sign me up all day here with the veteran slugger.
SS — Nick Ahmed (ARI) — $2,500 vs. MIA
Keep a watch out for the confirmed beginning lineups as we move forward throughout the afternoon as Ahmed left last night’s match with a cut on his finger after shooting a grounder from it, however he had been confident post-game he will play tonight and he’s been a horse that season for the D-backs, therefore I think he will begin this match tonight. Because there’s a lot of upside in his bat at a matchup from the scuffling Smith, that’s a good thing. Ahmed has seen his pop growth since the start of this 2018 season, and that’s been the situation here in 2019 as well, largely against left-wing pitching. He’ll enter play tonight sporting a impressive .256 ISO, .961 OPS, .394 wOBA and 143 wRC+ on the summer versus right-handed pitching. The news gets even better as his very best split — undoubtedly — is in home versus lefties where he’s touched them up for a .328 ISO, 1.110 OPS, .447 wOBA and 178 wRC+. Heck, we even get some foundation upside with Ahmed tonight as he has stolen seven luggage. He’s not having a terribly successful month to this stage, however I think in the amounts he is submitted at home versus lefties — even more so from a pitcher that has struggled on the street and of late also.
OF — Nick Markakis (ATL) — $2,600 vs. PHI
Next man up in our Braves stack is Markakis who simply does not get the credit he deserves for how good his bat is still against right-wing pitching. He does not get much attention due to the general lack of home run power because he owns just a .159 ISO versus righties this season and has slugged only nine homers in a league in which the long ball is on the rise to be sure. Having said that, he possesses an .856 ISO, .363 wOBA and 121 wRC+ vs righties this season. His bat is 21 percent better than league average versus right-handed pitching. A frequent theme in this lineup as been players playing in their best divide, and that’s how it is with Markakis too. The veteran outfielder has been quite good at home versus righties where he has posted a .184 ISO, .936 OPS, .395 wOBA along with 142 wRC+. He’s also been very good since overlooking about six weeks of activity with a fractured left wrist — usually a challenging injury to return from. In three games since returning, he’s gone for 14 (.500) with a double, two runs scored and three RBI. Just hasn’t missed a beat. He is also a .400 hitter having a double in 20 at-bats against Velasquez in his career. There is a ton of importance to be unlocked with Markakis tonight.
OF — Matt Joyce (ATL) — $2,400 vs. PHI
Completing our four-man stack is Joyce that has left his big league cash hitting right-wing pitching during his journeyman career. The batting average is in fact quite good against both pitchers’ handedness, but he’s logged just 20 at-bats versus lefties using a .300 average to show for it. Against righties, however, he’s hit .293 and also that the power is much better using a .185 ISO, however, also an .884 OPS, .379 wOBA and 132 wRC+. The bat is so productive versus righties because of a large 16% walk rate which has his OPS, wOBA and wRC+ amounts soaring. Once again, we have a hitter hitting in a productive split with Joyce. At home against righties, the numbers improve to a .203 ISO, .952 OPS, .404 wOBA and 148 wRC+. I take the higher energy and general production for a result, although his walk rate is in fact lower at home than on the street. We also have Joyce enjoying his best month of the year here in September as he has posted a .241 ISO, 1.011 OPS, .428 wOBA along with 164 wRC+ to the month to this stage. It is a tiny sample, but it is well worth noting that he is also 2 for 2 with a homer and a walk in his career from Velasquez. In what needs to be a fruitful four-man Braves stack this day, I will choose the value and operate.
OF — Mark Canha (OAK) — $3,200 vs. KC
I’d $3,200 after rostering my stack Verlander and a three-man D-backs stack, and of that group my pick of the litter is Canha who is having a breakout season at 30 decades of 43, left to an outfielder. I was also tempted to go with the Indians’ Franmil Reyes awarded his hard power power, but I like Canha’s splits as he takes on right-hander Jorge Lopez and the Kansas City Royals tonight in the O.Co Coliseum in Oakland. Entering drama tonight, Canha has published inverse breaks here in 2019. He possesses a .285 average, .247 ISO, .940 OPS, .395 wOBA along with 153 wRC+ vs right-handed pitching this season. This isn’t a recording, but we once again have a participant enjoying his split inside this matchup. Canha has owned right-handers at home that year where he’s submitted a .258 ISO, 1.058 OPS, .442 wOBA along with 184 wRC+. This wRC+ guess is far-and-away that his very best split of them all. At the plate in September, Canha has slowed down Following a August. However, he’s played in 3 consecutive games and includes a two-run homer at the time. Keep in mind Lopez owns a 5.44 ERA and 1.62 HR/9 over the summer, so I will take Canha’s favorable splits against a targetable starting pitcher tonight.
UTIL — Carson Kelly (ARI) — $2,500 vs. MIA