For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time drivers, instead of an shootout ‘ are in for a 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong having a relatively old surface that was repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race which tires failed to make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, so this race should provide a great mix of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine in 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the nighttime and final practice during the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this year and beyond Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with these data points, let’s get right into my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the chances below: A $100 bet at +375 odds would profit $375, while a $200 wager at -200 odds would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire Kyle Busch is the as a result of three wins to Harvick’s zero wins and his speed in Happy Hour this season. It could be argued that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the plank in final practice.
That’s because in opening training, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His time throughout the temperatures is reassuring. In reality, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers said the cars are really sensitive to track changes, and that they were really good in opening practice throughout the cooler temperatures.
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